I have been talking to our friends at Cultural Consulting about some interesting and potentially very useful work they doing in Hampshire with Audiences South on mapping and assessing the future cultural needs of an area.
They have come up with a really clever model which involves lots of variables linked to the current arts provision and the current and future make-up of the population. One of the variables is based on usage or ‘capacity’ of venues. This has led them to ask what I think is a deceptively tricky question: when can you say a performing arts venue is ‘playing to capacity’ and therefore indicating a need to increase the number of seats (if possible) or build a bigger venue?
The Steering Group for the project has been pondering this and thought that maybe any venue over the national average attendance for the year (generally believed to be about 66%, but I'm not sure where this figure comes from?) should be seen as operating at 'capacity'. That's a tough one to sell to a planner or chief finance officer.
When all shows are playing to 100% capacity for all performances? I don't think any venue can claim this. Even tiny venues doing marvellous work like the Donmar stage the occasional show where you can find the odd empty seat. I'd still argue they are playing to capacity as for many productions they would still sell out an entire run if they had three times their current number of seats.
Had a thought-provoking conversation with research colleagues in several of the Audience Development Agencies about this. They suggested it would be better to frame the question as ‘how frequently do you not have enough seats to sell?’ rather than looking at an overall percentage attendance figure for a year. This sounds sensible to me and chimes with the way capacity is measured for swimming pools (it’s not measured on all the time the pool is open, just recognised peak times).
So is the best way of measuring whether a venue is at capacity is to see whether it is playing to over 95% capacity for a high proportion of performances? Or is there a better way?
David Brownlee, Chief Executive, Audiences UK
Comments
_________________________
Thanks Sarah - that makes a lot of sense. Are you aware of a comparable source for concert halls?
________________________________________
Thanks Oliver. This is only one element in a larger model that will take into account some of the other variables you mention in what is a really complex scenario. I agree with what you're suggesting about more sophisticated approaches to pricing though. In a tough financial climate, more venues need to wise up to smart pricing. This could and should increase income, increase numbers of people engaging and increase the number of seats filled, even for currently very successful venues. - David
Comment feed (What are feeds?)